National Football League

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NFL Playoff Power Picks: Week 15

NFL Power Picks 12/11/18 NFL Power Picks 12/4/18 NFL Power Picks 11/27/18 Upshot: Playoff Simulator NFL Mid-Season Power Picks 2018.  

Posted by on December 11, 2018 in National Football League


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San Antonio Chargers

Interview with San Antonio Business Journal. Our mayor has indicated that San Antonio leaders should reach out to Los Angeles Chargers ownership, in light of that team’s severe struggles in finding support in the City of Angels. Do you believe there is merit to San Antonio at least initiating dialogue with the Chargers/why? Yes because…

Posted by on November 7, 2018 in National Football League


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Jerry’s World

Interview with Bloomberg News. Cowboys Stadium 2010. Do you have any estimates on how much Arlington has spent on pro sports since first building the (first) Rangers stadium? My estimates show about $960 million, which include $135 million in bonds for the 1994 Rangers stadium, $325 million for the Cowboys stadium, and $500 million for…

Posted by on August 22, 2018 in National Football League


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Piece of Integrity

Interview with CBS. I am writing on integrity fees. Are the pro leagues and NCAA entitled to them?  Is so, what should they cover? The Big 4 professional leagues and the 2 quasi-professional NCAA revenue sports are seeking a piece of sports betting action, and it can easily be argued that they are not necessarily…

Posted by on May 17, 2018 in National Football League


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Bargain Price

Interview with Charlotte Observer. (Sporting News) -What benefit might David Tepper see in bringing in minority owners if he technically doesn’t need any (financially speaking)? David Tepper will be certainly more fan friendly and way more accessible to the media than “Mister” Richardson. In terms of the overall Panthers fan experience this should be a positive…

Posted by on May 16, 2018 in National Football League


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Sure Thing

Interview with Las Vegas Sun. -Is downsizing new stadiums projects and increasing technology and amenities the best way to comate the ever improving at-home game experience? Welcome to the new NFL where smart luxury stadiums are economically designed to maximize team profit rather than fan welfare. The general downsizing trend in the NFL is consistent…

Posted by on May 8, 2018 in National Football League


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Monopoly Money

Interview with Charlotte Observer. — How much of a concern are the upcoming CBA and TV contracts for a possible buyer of an NFL franchise?  The strength of sports union varies inversely with the length of the CBA. Largely because of the relatively short careers of its players (3.3 years), the NFLPA is by far…

Posted by on March 23, 2018 in National Football League


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League of Ordinary Gentlemen

Interview with Crains Business NY. NFL Economics Stat Pack.  Clearly there are threats to the NFL’s business model as it now stands. Rights costs are generally out of synch with ratings and ad revenue, and the dangers of CTE could push young players and their parents away from the game in the coming years. My…

Posted by on March 8, 2018 in National Football League


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Checkers or Chess

Interview with Arizona Republic. A state bill here in AZ that would have Arizona join a national compact forbidding the use of taxpayer money for new professional sports facilities or renovations to existing ones. The compact would not take effect until 24 other states adopted it, the goal being that sports teams could no longer…

Posted by on February 12, 2018 in National Football League


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Super Bowl High

Interview with Philadelphia Biz Report.  I am hoping to get a comment from you on what (finally) winning a Super Bowl will do for the valuation of the Philadelphia Eagles. In the short run, NFL values are a simple function of market size and the certainty of cash flow from luxury seat cash cow venues….

Posted by on February 5, 2018 in National Football League


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Pay Me Now or Pay Me Later

Interview with NY Daily News. 1. Tom Brady is widely regarded as the best player in history at the most important position in all of sports. Yet over 18 seasons, he’s only been the highest-paid QB in the NFL one time (according to salary cap hit). And in six of the past seven seasons, as…

Posted by on February 4, 2018 in National Football League


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Keep Pounding Carolina

Interview with Charlotte Observer. Keep pounding, Carolina. Given the current ownership structure of the Panthers and ongoing renovations (and lease agreements) at BOA, the new majority ownership partner will probably be from or have strong financial ties to sweet home Carolina, and the Panthers are not likely to engage a credible franchise-relocation stadium-extortion game for…

Posted by on January 29, 2018 in National Football League


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Panthers Partners

Interview with Charlotte Observer. I am looking at the limited partners who are part of the ownership group with Jerry Richardson and explaining how these partnerships can work. My understanding is that Jerry clearly runs the show, although these partners still own a significant stake. I was wondering if you might have thoughts on how…

Posted by on December 26, 2017 in National Football League


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Rest Easy Carolina

Interview with Charlotte Biz Journal.  Mike Ozanian of Forbes tells us the current NFL franchise market is soft with 3 to 8 franchises either on the market or coming soon. One fourth of the NFL being placed on the block is a stretch even if league ownership is rapidly aging, but I would agree with…

Posted by on December 18, 2017 in National Football League


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NFL in Mexico

Interview with NY Times. what makes mexico tempting and worthy of at least trying games there (after a gap of several years since 2005). I understand the NFL wants to grow but what factors in Mexico make that worthy of testing and what financial dividends might there be? There are already more NFL fans in…

Posted by on November 17, 2017 in National Football League


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Too Much TV

Interview with Milwaukee Journal Sentenel.   Why have NFL revenues increased so much faster than those of the corporate sector as a whole? The NFL is a natural cartel that exerts major monopoly power over its die-hard fans, media outlets and general taxpayers. By artificially limiting the number of franchises the League is able to maximize…

Posted by on November 4, 2017 in National Football League


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Great Divide

Interview with Deadspin.  Deadspin XL / Deadspin growth / Growth XL The Brown family and the Bengals have long made it well-known that there’s a revenue divide between the NFL’s large-market and small-market teams. Even now, when revenues are through the roof thanks to the league’s national TV-rights deal, Troy Blackburn says the smaller markets have a…

Posted by on August 18, 2017 in National Football League


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St. Louis v. NFL

Interview with Bloomberg News Is this suit unique/unusual in the history of litigation over NFL franchise moves? No, the City of Cleveland successfully sued the NFL after the relocation of the relocation of the original Browns to Baltimore Ravens in 1996. In the relocation extortion case the NFL settled with the City of Cleveland by…

Posted by on July 12, 2017 in National Football League


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Desert Locked

Interview with ESPN. What kind of impact can the Raiders’ move to Vegas have on the Cardinals – whether it be taking away fan interest or travelers who visit Phoenix for games? With the opportunistic, public money-grabbing relocation of the Oakland/LA/Oakland Raiders to Sin City, the Southwest desert is about to get real crowded with…

Posted by on March 27, 2017 in National Football League


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Relocation-Extortion Game

Interview with Bisnow. What role does the league franchise system play in NFL team relocation? The important legal and economic question about the NFL ultimately reduces to whether the League is the single entity firm with teams as operational franchises or the teams are instead several and separate competing firms. The Supreme Court in the…

Posted by on February 4, 2017 in National Football League


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Stay or Go in San Diego

Interview with San Diego Times Union. I’m researching a column about the state of play facing Dean Spanos as he decides among three options: 1) Forego or seek to extend the L.A. option and stay in San Diego, under the Qualcomm lease that expires in 2020. 2) Stay in San Diego, pursue stadium deal for…

Posted by on January 6, 2017 in National Football League


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Out-kicking the Coverage

Interview with Charlotte Observer.  — Do you think concussions are currently hurting the NFL as a business, whether it’s ratings or fan interest? What damage could it do to the business going forward? Yes, NFL TV ratings are declining due to a complex combination of a variety of factors including media oversaturation of game broadcasts,…

Posted by on November 28, 2016 in National Football League


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Breath of Fresh Air

Interview with Florida Times-Union Jaguars Financial Charts. (XL) I’m doing a story looking at the five years of ownership of the Jaguars by Shad Khan from a business standpoint – how well he has operated the team as a business, how well he has done with a) building equity in the team, and b) increasing local…

Posted by on November 17, 2016 in National Football League


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Real Sports

Interview with HBO Real Sports  HBO Package  PSL’s: Can you give me a quick background on the PSL’s vis-à-vis taxes. I have a sense (but not sure if I’m right) that a team sells these PSL’s  but then doesn’t pay any taxes on them because technically they’re PSL’s for a public entity. So if the…

Posted by on November 8, 2016 in National Football League


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TV Bubble

Interview with CBS.  I am looking for commentary on the NFL’s ratings decline.  Have the media companies paid too much for the broadcast rights in recent years and are now paying the price? Sports TV Bubble Yes the artificial sports TV bubble may not have yet burst, but it has sprung a considerable leak, particularly…

Posted by on October 27, 2016 in National Football League


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League Think

Interview with CBS. How important has revenue-sharing been to the league’s success?   Was the NFL the first of the pro sports leagues to share revenue amongst its teams? The seismic shift in the economics of the nfl was the sports broadcasting act of 1961 where congress exempted the NFL, rival AFL and other major…

Posted by on September 8, 2016 in National Football League


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Internal Profit Contradiction

Interview with Sports Illustrated.  SI: I thought it was high time I replied to several of your terrific observations/responses. Feel free to respond to MY responses with more sublime riffs: Vrooman: “My first question is whether the hypothetical cataclysm is about the sudden absence of NFL football or NCAA D1 football or high school or pop warner…all…

Posted by on August 31, 2016 in National Football League


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Deep in the Heart

Interview with San Antonio Biz Journal. I have been covering for more than two years the Oakland Raiders’ interest in San Antonio, which has waned of late because of Mark Davis’ infatuation with Las Vegas. I have included other sports economists in previous reporting and wanted to get your insight for my next story. The…

Posted by on July 19, 2016 in National Football League


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Inverse Power Rule

Interview with NBC. Power rule / XL Power rule We’re writing a quick story on what money NFL draft pick Laremy Tunsil may have left on the table with his Twitter video last night. Do you potentially have any projections on what he will make as the 13th pick, compared with what he could have…

Posted by on April 29, 2016 in National Football League


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Cutting the Cord

Interview with AFP (French) / Portuguese. – Can you envision a subscription streaming platform (Netflix, Amazon) acquiring exclusive rights for a major sporting event or a league in the foreseeable future ? Cutting the cord and streaming is the future of all media (if not the present in some cases), and this is especially true for domestic…

Posted by on March 3, 2016 in National Football League


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Rams need LA more than LA needs Rams

Interview with LA Times. Lots of enthusiasm in L.A. about the economic impact in Inglewood. Jobs, taxes, tourism. I don’t mean to piss on the parade, but even with a year-round commercial facility built into the plan, I’m skeptical. correctomundo What about the impact on nearby existing businesses? Monolithic NFL Stadiums are notoriously terrible economic…

Posted by on March 1, 2016 in National Football League


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Tax Man Cometh

Interview with the Street.  Can you explain some of the real economic factors the league SHOULD be looking at in determining how much to charge the Rams for moving to LA? Ironically the empty LA market has probably been more valuable to the NFL as the 3rd leg in a public stadium funding extortion triangle…

Posted by on February 17, 2016 in National Football League


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Breaking Even

Interview with NBC. Vrooman general Super Bowl Comments 2/2016: NBC-SB / NFL-SB The NFL post season is at best a break even financial proposition for the participating clubs. For all NFL post season games (including the SB) all of the gate and media revenue are divided evenly among 32 teams in league after modest deductions (probably about 15…

Posted by on February 3, 2016 in National Football League


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Super Bowl Paradox

General Super Bowl Statement 2/2016: Super Bowl profits  The NFL post season is at best a break even financial proposition for the participating clubs. For all NFL post season games (including the SB) all of the gate and media revenue are divided evenly among 32 teams in league after modest deductions (probably about 15 percent of the…

Posted by on February 1, 2016 in National Football League


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Behind the Shield

Interview with AFP.  Graphs and Images (XLSX) –  The NFL has experienced tremendous economic success but has been critized for its management of the CTE issue, domestic abuse cases and teams relocations. How would you assess the league management’s track record over the last few years ? The NFL is as much an internal and…

Posted by on February 1, 2016 in National Football League


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Rams to LA

Interview with CNN. NFL Stadium Pack I am doing a story today about the Rams move to LA and would love to get your thoughts on why this ultimately wound up being the decision that the NFL owners approved. Would also love your perspective on Kroenke. The City of Angels is obviously valuable as the…

Posted by on January 13, 2016 in National Football League


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City of Angels

Interview International Business Times. (See the xl attachments for all images) -Why does it seem teams want to go to LA in 2016, compared with recent years and two decades ago? What are the major selling points? -What are the economic benefits or drawbacks of a move to LA for the three franchises and the…

Posted by on January 12, 2016 in National Football League


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Future Fading Fast In Toronto

Interview with the Toronto Star.  – With the momentum in Los Angeles, and with the seeming excitement around London, is there any way to assess where Toronto might stand as it relates to the queue for an NFL franchise? LA and GTA are the two major elephant-in-the-room missing pieces in the NFL expansion-relocation-extortion game that…

Posted by on January 8, 2016 in National Football League


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Size of the Fight in the Dog

Interview with the AP. I’m working on a story about the Rams’ effort to move to LA. The team’s relocation application was made available and it is very critical of the economic viability of the St. Louis market. I’m hoping you can tell me if this might have ramifications for St. Louis down the road…

Posted by on January 6, 2016 in National Football League


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LA Triplets

Interview with NBC. What addressable market does Los Angeles have for NFL football, both in terms of viewership and attendance? Attachments: Market size. Alternative futures. LA is obviously valuable as the second largest TV market in North America, but TV ratings and viewership for sporting events is typically lower in LA compared to other mega-markets…

Posted by on January 5, 2016 in National Football League


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Tres Amigos

Interview with LA News Group.  3 Amigos There are two stadium proposals Rams owner Stan Kroenke plans to build a new $1.9 billion stadium/residential/retail complex at the site of Hollywood Park, a former horse racing venue. The Chargers and Raiders have another proposal for a $1.7 billion stadium project in Carson. I found an economic…

Posted by on January 3, 2016 in National Football League


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Art of the Goldman Deal

Interview with LA Times. Basically I’m looking for experts in stadium financing, municipal finance, investment banking, etc., to talk with about the big banks get out of these deals, how they design them, why teams use them and what it means for the cities/states/taxpayers that are often party to these deals as well. Goldman Sachs…

Posted by on May 23, 2015 in National Football League


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3 Futures for the Bolts

Interview with San Diego Union-Tribune.  I’m researching a column about the state of play facing Dean Spanos as he decides among three options: 1) Forego or seek to extend the L.A. option and stay in San Diego, under the Qualcomm lease that expires in 2020. 2) Stay in San Diego, pursue stadium deal for another…

Posted by on May 21, 2015 in National Football League


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Much Ado ‘Bout Nothin’

Interview with CNBC.  What reason would the NFL have for cutting out this policy after a season in which there were no blackouts? The long sought blackout policy change is largely a cosmetic attempt to deflect mounting anti-blackout political pressure from the US Congress and to reflect negative blow-back from the FCC ruling limiting blackouts…

Posted by on March 24, 2015 in National Football League


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More Playoffs

Interview with Pittsburgh Post-Gazette Full graphics (XL File) Basically, I wanted to see if I could gauge 1) how much in additional revenue two more playoff games would provide via the networks. Currently the 3 NFL TV networks (excluding ESPN) are paying between $2.00 and $2.50 per viewer in regular season TV rights 2014-22. CBS recently…

Posted by on February 20, 2015 in National Football League


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Money on Hollywood Park

Interview with LA Times.  Bolts and Raiders ain’t gonna happen. My money is still riding on Kroenke’s Hollywood Park express. V.  Guessing by now you’ve heard about the Chargers/Raiders stadium plan in Carson. http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-nfl-stadium-20150220-story.html#page=1 Any thoughts on how the economics of this sort of thing might work out? The Chargers and Raiders are probably blowing…

Posted by on February 20, 2015 in National Football League


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Yin-Yang of Sports

Interview with Pacific Standard. Without sport, it seems, America would be a much different place. What would America look like without organized and professional sport? In a hypothetical America without organized sports we would probably no longer exist. As derived from our societal DNA, organized sport reflects  the basic duality of western man and the…

Posted by on January 12, 2015 in National Football League


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LA Extortion Triangle

Interview with NY Times. NFL Stadium Package. Mostly what I wanted to ask John about is if it makes sense — given the role the TV deals play in NFL economics — for a team to move to Los Angeles if it will have to pay for construction of a new stadium, land, practice facility…

Posted by on November 8, 2014 in National Football League


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Taking Credit for Dawn

Interview with New York Times Magazine. ** First, I’d definitely want to know your take on the concussions and as they relate to the tax exempt status. In the not so favorable light of the recent series of public relations blunders the non-profit tax exempt status of the NFL has once again been called into…

Posted by on October 16, 2014 in National Football League


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Panthers Price

Interview with Charlotte Observer. – The Bills recently sold for $1.4 billion. How much could a franchise like the Panthers go for? I pegged the final auction prices of $1.4 billion for the Buffalo Bills last month and $2 billion for the LA Clippers 2 months ago by using the following fool-proof blind-squirrel-finding-acorn method. Annual…

Posted by on September 30, 2014 in National Football League


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