“The baseball season is structured to mock reason, because science doesn’t work in the games that matter most.”

—Michael Lewis, author of Moneyball

“My sh*t doesn’t work in the playoffs. My job is to get us to the playoffs. What happens after that is f***ing luck.”

—Billy Beane, General Manager of Oakland Athletics.

Playoff Probability

Champion Effect Convexity

Open and Closed Case

Trade Deadline