Sports Econ Theory (In Progress)
Dual Basic. Zeta Distributions Vrooman’s law
National Football League Perfect Game
Actual (observed) standard deviations within season Ideal (expected) standard deviations for n-game season MLB CBI 2015 Ideal/actual standard deviation (0 ≤ σ ≤ 1) NFL CBI 2015 NHL CBI 2015 and 2016 NBA CBI 2016 Vroom-daddy Gammas: NCAAM Basketball 2016
NBA v NFL Final 4 picks
Theory of the First Best / Power Point.
TV Revenues Win Model
Basic MRP Inverse Square-root Rule
Theory of the Big Dance. “The baseball season is structured to mock reason, because science doesn’t work in the games that matter most.” —Michael Lewis, author of Moneyball “My sh*t doesn’t work in the playoffs. My job is to get us to the playoffs. What happens after that is f***ing luck.” —Billy Beane, General Manager…
Five Ways to Beat the Bombers
Two to Tango pdf “Asserting that a single team could produce a game is like a Zen riddle: Who wins when a football team plays itself?” — American Needle, Inc. v. NFL, et al. 538 F.3d 736 (7th Cir.2009).
Sportsman Leagues “The goal is to win. It’s not about making money” — Roman Abramovich, owner Chelsea FC
Unified Theory Original. “There is nothing more limited than a limited partner in the Yankees.” —John McMullen, limited partner in the NY Yankees Sportsman Effect Asymmetric markets: Cubs vs. Brewers Steinbrenner Agency Effect Other Peoples Money
National League-American Rival League (Baseball) War 1901-1903 National Football League-American Football League War (1960-67) National Basketball Association-American Basketball Association War (1967-76) National Hockey League-World Hockey Association War (1972-79) Big 4 Expansion and Franchise Relocation (1995-2016)
Franchise Free Agency Original / Update “This isn’t our doing, the free agency occurred in court. I would much prefer the Oakland Raiders to the Los Angeles Raiders and the Baltimore Colts instead of the Indianapolis Colts” —Art Modell, former owner of the Baltimore Ravens formerly the Cleveland Browns concerning the relocation of the St. Louis…
Dual Market Theorem / Power Point.