Call Me Maybe?

Messge Sent in Arebico Broadcast by SETI

Unfortunately, I come to the conclusion at the end of this class that it is extremely unlikely, and mathematically almost impossible, that we will receive any extraterrestrial contact within our lifetime. Reading about SETI makes me happy that humans have thought to reach out and prioritized it in a way (it is a very expensive project). However, I believe the odds that we will actually be able to communicate with one of these civilizations is so extremely low. If we just consider how we communicated 100 years ago, we would not be able to send signals to the other side of the world, much less the galaxy. Now put that time scale in the BILLIONS of years and it becomes clear that an advanced civilization likely would be using methods of contact that are surely unimaginable to us. 
The broadcast by SETI into star cluster M13 is particularly interesting. We sent out what we believed would be a relatively easily deciphered message. However, even after coordinating our most powerful telescope to send this signal, it will take approximately 25,000 years to reach the M13 Cluster. So even if this signal is successful, the odds we will be able to get a message back in any relevant window of time is very low. Very low. My family will have most definitely be a figment of the past, and this saddens me.

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some final thoughts

Astronomy Picture of the Day of April 20, 2023, our last day of class 😦

When I started this class, I didn’t expect to find so many connections between astronomy and they other subjects I’m interested in! I am majoring in philosophy and political science, subjects that I believed to be totally independent from the physics and history of our universe. Thankfully, I was very wrong!

I still am shocked by how unfathomably large the universe is. From the first time I learned about the Cosmic Calendar (you can read my earlier blog post on that here!), I discovered that the more I learned, the harder it became to wrap my mind around just how big and old everything is. Our place in the universe is so seemingly insignificant; after all, our lifetimes are just a blink of an eye on a small patch of one planet among billions.

But at the same time, this is an inspiring thought– the possibilities are endless! The universe is filled with unexplored horizons! The possibility, though yet unsubstantiated, of extraterrestrial life (you can read my post on the Fermi Paradox here) only adds to the limitless opportunities that we have to figure out our place in this world.

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the fermi paradox

comic about the Fermi Paradox from LPU

Sir Arthur C. Clarke, a British science fiction author, said that “two possibilities exist: either we are alone in the universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying”. And he was exactly right!

The more that we learn about and explore the universe, the more we learn about the possibility of life out there, whatever that might look like. The Fermi Paradox refers to the clash between the high probability that somewhere out there exists high-intelligence extraterrestrial life and that we currently have no evidence for such life.

Various scientists have attempted to calculate the number of civilizations that may be out there; notably, the Drake and Seager Equations have used estimates of the number of sun-like stars, the number of planets orbiting those stars, the share of those planets within habitable zones, the timeline for development of life, and the lifespan of the typical civilization (among other variables) to try and come to some kind of conclusion, but the wide range of values for any given variable makes a conclusive estimate almost impossible.

Maybe we haven’t looked hard enough, or maybe we lack the tools to find life, or maybe the extraterrestrial life that we seek is just really good at hiding. Regardless, our understanding of the universe is expanding every single day– hopefully, someday soon, we can start to get some kind of answer to the paradox!

Calvin and Hobbes Comic
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Fast Radio Bursts

Figure: The first detected FRB in 2006. Source: Wikipedia

Fast radio bursts, or FRBs, are a phenomenon in astrophysics that has captivated researchers since their discovery in 2007. These are short-lived but extremely powerful bursts of radio waves that originate from far beyond our own galaxy. The duration of these bursts is typically measured in milliseconds, but during that time, they can emit as much energy as the Sun does in an entire day. Despite being observed for over a decade, the origins of FRBs remain a mystery, and astronomers are still working to understand their nature and the implications they may have for our understanding of the universe. The first FRB was discovered in 2007 by Duncan Lorimer and his team at West Virginia University. It was dubbed the “Lorimer Burst” and was initially believed to be a one-time event. However, subsequent observations showed that FRBs were not isolated incidents and that they occur frequently throughout the universe.

Figure: Possibility of Fast Radio Burst being related to aliens. Source: New Scientist

One theory about the origin of FRBs is that they are produced by highly energetic cosmic events, such as the collision of two neutron stars or the explosion of a supernova. Another possibility is that FRBs could be caused by magnetars, which are highly magnetic neutron stars that produce intense bursts of X-rays and gamma rays. However, these theories do not fully explain the properties of FRBs, such as their extreme brightness and the fact that they seem to come from random locations in the sky. Another possibility is that FRBs could be a result of alien technology, specifically, the use of powerful transmissions by extraterrestrial civilizations. The idea of using radio waves to communicate with other intelligent life forms has been explored by humans since the early days of radio communication. Therefore, the possibility that other civilizations in the universe may be using similar methods to communicate cannot be ruled out entirely.

Regardless of their origins, the study of FRBs has the potential to significantly impact our understanding of the universe. One of the most exciting developments in the field of FRB research has been the discovery of repeating FRBs. These are bursts that occur at regular intervals, indicating that they are not just one-time events. The first repeating FRB was discovered in 2016, and since then, several others have been detected. Repeating FRBs has allowed scientists to study them more closely and has led to new insights into their properties. For example, in 2020, researchers were able to detect a repeating FRB from a source within our own galaxy for the first time. This discovery has provided new clues about the nature of FRBs and suggests that they may be more common than previously believed.

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“Where is everybody?”

The Fermi Paradox has puzzled scientists and philosophers for over half a century. It is named after Enrico Fermi, the Italian American physicist who, during a lunchtime conversation in 1950, asked, “Where is everybody?” Fermi was referring to the apparent contradiction between the high probability of the existence of intelligent extraterrestrial life and the lack of evidence for it. Despite decades of research and numerous attempts to detect extraterrestrial life, we have yet to find any definitive proof of its existence, and the Fermi Paradox remains one of the most perplexing mysteries of modern science. One possible explanation for the Fermi Paradox is the idea that advanced civilizations may be too far away from us to detect or communicate with, given the vast distances between stars and galaxies. This is known as the “Great Filter” hypothesis. According to this theory, there may be a set of barriers that prevent life from reaching the stage of advanced technological development required for interstellar travel and communication. These barriers could include catastrophic events such as asteroid impacts or supernovae, or more complex factors such as social or environmental constraints. Another hypothesis that has been put forward is that intelligent life may be exceedingly rare in the universe, a concept known as the “Rare Earth” theory. According to this idea, the development of complex life is the result of a series of unlikely events, such as the formation of a stable planetary system, the presence of a large moon to stabilize the planet’s orbit, and the existence of a magnetic field to protect the planet from harmful radiation. These factors may be so rare that they only occur in a few locations in the universe, making the emergence of intelligent life a rare and unlikely event.

Figure: Zoo hypothesis may explain why we can’t see aliens. Source: SETI

Some scientists have suggested that advanced civilizations may be deliberately avoiding contact with us, a concept known as the “Zoo Hypothesis.” This theory proposes that extraterrestrial civilizations are observing us but have made a conscious decision not to interact with us. This could be due to the fear of hostile or dangerous aliens, the belief that interacting with other species could be harmful to their own development, or simply a desire to maintain the natural order of the universe. Alternatively, it is possible that extraterrestrial life could exist in forms that are vastly different from what we consider to be life. The concept of “non-biological intelligence” suggests that intelligent life could emerge from technological or artificial sources, such as advanced robots or artificial intelligence. Such forms of life could be difficult to recognize or detect and may not rely on the same conditions necessary for biological life. Despite the many hypotheses that have been proposed, we are still far from a definitive answer to the Fermi Paradox. The search for extraterrestrial life continues, and new technologies and methods are being developed to detect and communicate with potential alien civilizations. Ultimately, the resolution of the Fermi Paradox may require a fundamental shift in our understanding of the universe and our place within it. Until then, it remains one of the most intriguing and enduring mysteries of modern science.

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Blog 8 – The History of Venus

When asked to picture Venus, many of us picture a hot, volcanic, inhabitable place — and we would be correct. However, science suggests that it may not have always been this way. A study of five different climate simulations of Venus found that in each of these scenarios, the planet could have supported liquid water and a habitable temperature for at least three billion years. Probes have found considerable amounts of heavy water, which is water with the hydrogen replaced by deuterium, in the atmosphere of Venus. The amount of heavy water found suggests that enough classic liquid water may have existed on Venus at one point to form an entire ocean.

These findings may lead someone to wonder what happened to Venus to change it so drastically. While there are many unknowns, it appears that about 700 million years ago, some unknown event occurred that triggered a runaway greenhouse effect. This event is thought to have likely been related to the volcanic activity on the surface.

Another recent study found that Venus instead may have been uninhabitable for around 70% of its lifetime, which would be a bit less interesting. They also argue that if Venus had liquid water at some point, we would be able to see more oxygen in its atmosphere. As Venus heated, the liquid water should have vaporized and then broken down into hydrogen and oxygen. They have theories as to what could have happened to the oxygen, but they do not consider any of them to be particularly plausible. Therefore, the history of Venus remains a mystery.

Given that Earth and Venus are twinsies, and that Venus may have been habitable at some point, Venus could be considered a frightening warning as to what will happen to our planet if our own greenhouse effect gets out of hand.

Image of Venus from NASA
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Blog 7 – Where did life on Earth come from?

Many people, myself included, may have assumed that life developed here on Earth and evolved from there. However, other promising theories suggest that life may have originated elsewhere and then traveled to Earth on meteorites. These theories are called panspermia theories.

Although space is a very harsh vacuum environment, experiments have determined that a number of organisms on Earth could survive for a while in space, such as tardigrades, the organism shown below. Tardigrades can be found alive in a variety of extreme conditions. Other organisms, mainly bacteria, were found to be able to survive under space conditions as well.

Image of a tardigrade from National Geographic

The most likely theory of where else Earth life could have originated is Mars. Scientists have found that molybdenum, an element thought to be crucial to the formation of life, was available in an oxidized form on the surface of Mars a long time ago. This element was unavailable on Earth at the time. Although the Mars theory is fascinating and cannot yet be ruled out, many scientists still agree that the most likely scenario is that life formed on Earth. Additionally, slightly more exciting but unlikely theory states that life could have been purposefully directed to Earth by another intelligent species.

Where do you think life on Earth came from?

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Political Economics of Space Exploration

Image from NASA Press Release

I remember when I was young thinking, why haven’t we put humans on Mars yet? We have the feasibility to do so, but why? The answer comes down to the intersection between power politics and economics that often hamper, restrict and sometimes fuel the drive for space exploration. Before this class, I remember wondering why scientists keep demanding more and more rovers and explorations of Mars. I did not understand why, after one fly-by or orbit of Saturn, scientists pushed the need for more. After completing this course, I now realize the reason is simple economics and budgetary constraints placed on NASA by Congress.

Additional missions to planets arise from several reasons. One is that its not efficient to launch a probe with hundreds of specialized instruments. Later missions are thus needed to fill in data gaps missing due to simple engineering constraints. Other times, NASA mission proposals are afforded a maximum cap on their budget that prevents equipment from being installed that is otherwise feasible. This leads to a definite desire for further missions, diffusing already sparse funds from a mission designed for symbolic goals of planting the American flag on Mars.

At the same time, space exploration is heating up due to International great power competition. The Chinese lunar exploration agency aptly states that “the universe is an ocean, the moon is the Diaoyu Islands, Mars is Huangyan Island. If we don’t go there now even though we’re capable of doing so, then we will be blamed by our descendants. If others go there, then they will take over, and you won’t be able to go even if you want to. This is reason enough.” I write my final blog post on this because I intend to major in Law, History, and Society with a focus on pre-law along with a minor in Global Politics (Political Science) and (hopefully) Astronomy. This question about the future of space exploration and economic prioritization centers on competition between international powers and hopes to use pre-existing and future legal frameworks to center future colonization and exploration of space. We live in a very interesting time, and I certainly intend to pay attention to the consequences and discoveries of future astronomical discovery.

Source: Article on Space and International Politics

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Scientists Dream of Complex Life on Europa

Images from BBC Article on Europan Life and CNET Article on Proposed NASA Rover

The search for extraterrestrial life is often focused upon deep space with distances the human mind can barely comprehend. However, evidence has been building that complex life could be present in our cosmological backyard on the icy moon of Europa. The Galileo space probe passed by Europa in the 1990s, finding compelling evidence for a 60 mile deep ocean capped off by an icy crust with fissures and later observed suspected geysers of water. In the past 20 years, evidence has built that, despite common assumptions that life needs sunlight to flourish, that Europa could be home to life and potentially even a complex ecosystem.

The reasonably scientifically accurate 2013 movie Europa Report highlights the human discovery of an octopus-like animal prowling the oceans beneath Europa. The discovery and categorization of extremophile bacterium has lent credence to the idea that life can potentially flourish in environments of extreme pressure, no sunlight, and near hot hydrothermal vents. Scientists theorize that these vents might exist if there is a rocky surface next beneath the ocean and layer of ice. Also, since water can apparently escape in geysers, it is plausible that oxygen and carbon can enter the ocean, providing ingredients for life.

The planned Europa Clipper project by NASA would aim to change that. Designed specifically with the intent to scope out the potential for life on this world, it would carry instruments not available to Galileo, “including a camera that will image most of the surface; spectrometers to understand its composition; ice-penetrating radar to map the ice shell in three dimensions and find water beneath the ice shell; and a magnetometer to characterise the ocean.” Overall, the instruments along with theoretical proposals of flying through geysers to ascertain the presence of organic compounds and potential landers lay the groundwork for at the very least some fascinating new discoveries over the next decade.

Sources include Article from BBC on Potential for Life and Business Insider Commentary on Prospects for Life on Europa

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The Universe and Me

We are a small and yet important part of this vast universe

     Looking back on the whole course, I felt like I learned so much about our solar system and beyond. I think it’s important to understand where you come from so you can better understand yourself and your place in the universe. Now, I definitely know more about the theory behind the formation of our solar system, the different methods we use to detect faraway planets, and why Pluto “isn’t” a planet anymore. I feel as if I don’t look at the universe any differently now, I just feel more secure about my place in the universe because I’m aware of what’s happening around me. I’ll definitely look out for news on sending astronauts to Mars and the New Horizons team.

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