Articles
“Measuring the Impact of Appointee Vacancies on U.S. Federal Agency Performance,” (with Mark D. Richardson and Chris Piper), Journal of Politics, forthcoming.
“Presidential Investment in the Administrative State,” (with Nick Bednar) American Political Science Review, 118(1):442-57(2024) (Data)
“The Independent Agency Myth,” (with Neal Devins), Cornell Law Review, forthcoming. [readme-independent_agency_myth_.docx] [Analysis_Supporting_Calculations] [2000_Nominations_Codebook_070720] [agency_structure_quorum_110118] [agendach_2020agency_avg_081321] [Appendix A] [GPO_PLUMBOOK_2020_020422] [infl_ratings_devins_lewis_120221] [PAS_2008_Dataset_Codebook_070720] [plum_combined_000816_021921] [Presidentially_Approved_Positions_Dataset_2020_020422] [Presidentially_Approved_Positions_Dataset_2016_115th_Congress_07_26_21] [sfgs_2020_methods_sample_construction] [ sfgs_2020_survey_method] [SFGSII_full_instrument_2014] [skills_rating_2020_2014] [statutory_characteristics_and_current_configurations_of_independent_commissions] [whinfluence_2020_agency_avg_181321] [devins_lewis_nominations_analysis_020222] [devins_lewis_skills_012122] [devins_lewis_influence_012122] [devins_lewis_timetomaj_021222]
“Do Vacancies Hurt Federal Agency Performance?” (with Christopher M. Piper), Journal of Public Administration Research & Theory 33(2):313-28 (2023). [Data] [Codebook] [STATA batch file for all analysis] [R code for figures] [Readme for replication]
“The Very Best People: President Trump and the Management of Executive Personnel.” (with Mark D. Richardson) Presidential Studies Quarterly 51 (1): 51-70 (2021). [Data] [Codebook]
“Executive Control and Turnover in the Senior Executive Service,” (with Kathleen Doherty and Scott Limbocker) Journal of Public Administration Research & Theory [Data request—IRB restrictions]
“President Trump as Manager: Reflections on the First Year.” (with Patrick Bernhard and Emily H. You) Presidential Studies Quarterly 48(3):480-501. [Data for Figure 2 and Appendix A]
“Elite Perceptions of Agency Ideology and Workforce Skill.” (with Mark D. Richardson and Joshua D. Clinton) Journal of Politics 80(1):303-7 (2018). [Ideology estimates] [Ideology estimates codebook] [Skills estimates] [Skills estimates codebook] [Dataverse page link]
“Agency Performance Challenges and Agency Politicization.” (with Abby K. Wood) Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 27(4):581-95 (2017). [Data] [Codebook] [STATA batch file for replication]
“Political Control and the Forms of Agency Independence.” (with Jennifer L. Selin) George Washington Law Review 83(4/5):1487-1516 (2015). [Selin data] [Selin data codebook] [Selin website]
“Presidents and Patronage.” (with Gary E. Hollibaugh, Jr. and Gabe Horton), American Journal of Political Science 58(4):1024-1042 (2014).
“Influencing the Bureaucracy: The Irony of Congressional Oversight.” (with Joshua D. Clinton and Jennifer L. Selin), American Journal of Political Science 58(2):387-401 (2014). [Replication files]
“Government Reform, Political Ideology, and Administrative Burden: The Case of Performance Management in the Bush Administration.” (with Stéphane Lavertu and Donald P. Moynihan) Public Administration Review 73(6):845-57 (2013).
“Policy Influence, Agency-Specific Expertise, and Exit in the Federal Service.” (with Anthony M. Bertelli) Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 23(2):223-245 (2013). [Data request—IRB restrictions]
“Politics Can Limit Policy Opportunism in Fiscal Institutions: Evidence from Official General Fund Revenue Forecasts in the American States.” (with George A. Krause and James Douglas) Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 32(2):271-95 (2013). [Data] [Codebook] [Output] [STATA batch files]
“The Invisible Presidential Appointments: An Examination of Appointments to the Department of Labor, 2001-2011.” (with Richard W. Waterman) Presidential Studies Quarterly 43 (1): 35-57 (2013). [Data] [STATA batch file] [Output] [Resumes] [Coding instructions]
“The Personnel Process in the Modern Presidency.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 42(3):577-96 (2012). [Data] [Figures]
“Separated Powers in the United States.” (with Joshua D. Clinton, Anthony M. Bertelli, Christian Grose, and David C. Nixon) American Journal of Political Science 56(2):341-54 (2012). [Estimates]
“The Consequences of Presidential Patronage for Agency Performance.” (with Nick Gallo) Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory. 22(2): 219-243 (2012). [Data] [STATA batch file]
“Presidential Appointments and Personnel.” Annual Review of Political Science 14 (June):47-66 (2011).
“Measurement and Public Service Motivation: New Insights, Old Questions.” International Public Management Journal 13(1):1-10 (2010).
“Modern Presidents and the Transformation of the Federal Personnel System.” TheForum, 7(4): Article 6 (2010). [Data for Figure 1] [Data for Figure 2]
“Revisiting the Administrative Presidency: Policy, Patronage, and Administrative Competence.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 39 (1):60-73 (2009).
“Management and Leadership Performance in the Defense Department: Evidence from Surveys of Federal Employees.” (with Major Paul S. Oh, U.S. Army) Armed Forces and Society 34(4): 639-661 (2008). [Data] [STATA batch file] [STATA output]
“Not-So Independent Agencies: Party Polarization and the Limits of Institutional Design.” (with Neal Devins) Boston University Law Review 88(2):459-98 (2008). [Data]
“Expert Opinion, Agency Characteristics, and Agency Preferences.” (with Joshua D. Clinton) Political Analysis 16(1):3-16 (2008). [Agency ideology estimates] [Raw data] [Codebook] [Expert survey]
“Toward a Broader Understanding of Presidential Power: A Re-Evaluation of the Two Presidencies Thesis.” (with Brandice Canes-Wrone and William G. Howell) Journal of Politics 70(1):1-16 (2008). [Data]
“Testing Pendleton’s Premise: Do Political Appointees Make Worse Bureaucrats?” Journal of Politics 69(4):1073-88 (2007). [PART Data-STATA][PART Data-Excel] [codebook][Time-varying covariates] [STATA batch file]
“Does Performance Budgeting Work? An Examination of OMB’s PART Scores.” (with John B. Gilmour) Public Administration Review 66(5):742-52 (2006). [Data][Managers data] [STATA batch file][Budget and performance data]
“Political Appointments, Civil Service Systems, and Bureaucratic Competence: Organizational Balancing and Gubernatorial Revenue Forecasts in the American States.” (with George Krause and James Douglas) American Journal of Political Science 50(3):770-87 (2006). [Data] [Codebook] [STATA batch file] [Stata output][Additional data – excluding certain cases][Auxiliary output][Auxiliary analyses]
“Assessing Performance Budgeting at OMB: The Influence of Politics, Performance, and Program Size.” (with John B. Gilmour) Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 16(2):169-86 (2006). [Note] [Data—cohort 1] [Data –cohort 2]
“Political Appointees and the Competence of Federal Program Management.” (with John B. Gilmour) American Politics Research 34(1):22-50 (2006). [PART data] [Time-varying covariates][STATA batch file]
“Staffing Alone: Unilateral Action and the Politicization of the Executive Office of the President, 1988-2004.” Presidential Studies Quarterly 35(3):496-514 (2005). [Data] [Data-time-varying covariates] [STATA batch file]
“Political Learning from Rare Events: Poisson Inference, Fiscal Constraints and the Lifetime of Bureaus.” (with Daniel C. Carpenter) Political Analysis 12(3):201-32 (2004). [Data—Excel] [Data—STATA] [STATA batch file] [Note]
“The Adverse Consequences of the Politics of Agency Design for Presidential Management in the United States: The Relative Durability of Insulated Agencies.” British Journal of Political Science 34:377-404 (2004). [Data—Excel] [Data—STATA] [STATA batch file] [Note]
“The Irrational Escalation of Commitment and the Ironic Labor Politics of the Rust Belt.” (with Glenn Beamer) Enterprise and Society 4(4):676-306 (2003). [Data—Mills] [Data—Companies][STATA batch file]
“Agencies by Presidential Design.” (with William G. Howell) Journal of Politics 64(4):1095-1114 (2002). [Data] [Figures] [STATA batch file]
“The Politics of Agency Termination: Confronting the Myth of Agency Immortality.” Journal of Politics 64(1):89-107 (2002). [Data] [Figures] [STATA batch file]
“What Time Is It? The Use of Power in Four Different Types of Presidential Time.” (with James Michael Strine) Journal of Politics 58(3):682-706 (1996). [Data]